Recreativo do Libolo vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Calulo, Calulo
The Footlab model makes Recreativo do Libolo the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo do Libolo vs 1º de Maio?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Recreativo do Libolo (1,602) and 1º de Maio (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo do Libolo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | São Salvador(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Recreativo do Libolo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 1º de Maio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1º de Maio 1-1 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Recreativo do Libolo 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jun 10, 2018 | 1º de Maio 1-1 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Recreativo do Libolo 2-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jul 25, 2017 | 1º de Maio 1-4 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Recreativo do Libolo 3-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Maio vs Recreativo do Libolo on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo do Libolo score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo do Libolo sit 1st in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo do Libolo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo do Libolo vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo do Libolo the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is Recreativo do Libolo vs 1º de Maio played?
- Recreativo do Libolo vs 1º de Maio is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Calulo, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.