Regar-TadAZ vs Barki Tajik: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)TALCO Arena, Tursunzoda
The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Barki Tajik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Regar-TadAZ vs Barki Tajik?
Regar-TadAZ starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,491 vs 1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Regar-TadAZ have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Barki Tajik have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Maziya(away) | 3-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Regar-TadAZ win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Barki Tajik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Barki Tajik 1-4 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ 0-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Barki Tajik 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ 0-0 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Barki Tajik 1-2 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Barki Tajik 3-2 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barki Tajik vs Regar-TadAZ on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barki Tajik score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Barki Tajik | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Regar-TadAZ sit 1st in Vysshaya Liga (30 points from 13 matches) and Barki Tajik sit 6th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Barki Tajik | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Regar-TadAZ vs Barki Tajik?
- The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Barki Tajik.
- Where and when is Regar-TadAZ vs Barki Tajik played?
- Regar-TadAZ vs Barki Tajik is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at TALCO Arena, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.