Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodnik, Nay
The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Istaravshan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir?
CSKA Pomir starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,466 vs 1,233).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istaravshan have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; CSKA Pomir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(away) | 2-5 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Istaravshan win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 CSKA Pomir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | CSKA Pomir 2-1 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Istaravshan 2-1 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | CSKA Pomir 4-1 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 8, 2024 | CSKA Pomir 4-1 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Istaravshan 0-1 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 20, 2022 | CSKA Pomir 1-1 Istaravshan | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Pomir vs Istaravshan on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Istaravshan score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Pomir score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istaravshan | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Pomir | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istaravshan sit 12th in Vysshaya Liga (5 points from 13 matches) and CSKA Pomir sit 4th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Pomir | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Istaravshan.
- Where and when is Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir played?
- Istaravshan vs CSKA Pomir is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodnik, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.