Reims vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims
The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reims vs Metz?
Reims starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reims have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Reims win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Metz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Reims 1-3 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2025 | Metz 1-1 Reims | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Reims 2-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Metz 2-2 Reims | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Reims 1-0 Metz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Reims 0-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Reims score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Metz | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reims sit 5th in Ligue 2 (5 points from 3 matches) and Metz sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Metz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reims vs Metz?
- The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Metz.
- Where and when is Reims vs Metz played?
- Reims vs Metz is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Auguste-Delaune, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.