Match

Montpellier vs Sochaux: prediction and stats

Ligue 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier

MontpellierSochaux

The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Sochaux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montpellier vs Sochaux?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Montpellier (1,917) and Sochaux (1,860).

47%27%26%
Montpellier winDrawSochaux win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Sochaux

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Camara
  1. 18N. Pays
  2. 19N. Mukiele
  3. 5F. Tardieu
  4. 44T. Chennahi
  5. 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
  1. 15J. Laporte
  2. 17T. Sainte-Luce
  3. 27D. Meddah
  4. 58A. Sissoko
  1. 31S. Ngapandouetnbu

Sochaux

4-2-3-1
  1. 9K. Djoco
  1. 21B. Diawara
  2. 7B. Gomel
  3. 77L. Nomel
  4. 24Y. Demoncy
  5. 23J. Masson
  1. 14M. Peybernes
  2. 26E. N'Gatta
  3. 3D. Gomis
  4. 4A. Vitelli
  1. 40M. Jeannin

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sochaux have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montpellier
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Grenoble(home)2-0Ligue 2
Sep 18, 2026Reims(away)1-1Ligue 2
Sep 11, 2026PAU(home)1-0Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Saint Etienne(away)1-3Ligue 2
Aug 28, 2026Boulogne(home)0-0Ligue 2
Sochaux
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Boulogne(home)1-1Ligue 2
Oct 2, 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Laval(away)1-1Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2026Nantes(home)1-0Ligue 2
Sep 4, 2026PAU(away)1-1Ligue 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Montpellier wins, 0 draws, 2 Sochaux wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2014Sochaux 0-2 MontpellierLigue 1
Oct 30, 2013Sochaux 3-2 MontpellierCoupe de la Ligue
Aug 24, 2013Montpellier 2-1 SochauxLigue 1
Jan 26, 2013Montpellier 2-0 SochauxLigue 1
Jan 23, 2013Montpellier 2-3 SochauxCoupe de France
Sep 1, 2012Sochaux 1-3 MontpellierLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Sochaux vs Montpellier on Jan 18, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sochaux score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montpellier1.71.178/155/15
Sochaux0.91.258/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montpellier sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Sochaux sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Montpellier84318515
9Sochaux82515611

A question about Montpellier vs Sochaux?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Sochaux?
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Sochaux.
Where and when is Montpellier vs Sochaux played?
Montpellier vs Sochaux is played on April 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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