Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Johnstone Burgh (1,595) and Renfrew (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Johnstone Burgh have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 3-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Johnstone Burgh score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnstone Burgh | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Renfrew | 1.5 | 3.3 | 0 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Johnstone Burgh sit 20th in Football League - Lowland League (5 points from 4 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Johnstone Burgh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 30 | Renfrew | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew?
- The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Renfrew.
- Where and when is Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew played?
- Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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