Riga vs KI Klaksvik: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Skonto, Riga
The Footlab model makes Riga the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for KI Klaksvik. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga vs KI Klaksvik?
Riga starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; KI Klaksvik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 4-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 4-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | AB(away) | 4-3 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | HB Torshavn(home) | 0-2 | Meistaradeildin |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | B36 Torshavn(home) | 2-0 | Meistaradeildin |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; KI Klaksvik score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 2.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| KI Klaksvik | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga vs KI Klaksvik?
- The Footlab model makes Riga the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for KI Klaksvik.
- Where and when is Riga vs KI Klaksvik played?
- Riga vs KI Klaksvik is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadions Skonto, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.