Rijnsburgse Boys vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Middelmors, Rijnsburg
The Footlab model makes Rijnsburgse Boys the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnsburgse Boys vs Spakenburg?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Rijnsburgse Boys (1,926) and Spakenburg (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnsburgse Boys have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 3-6 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Almere City II(away) | 0-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Capelle(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | WV-HEDW(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rijnsburgse Boys win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Spakenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Spakenburg 3-2 Rijnsburgse Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Spakenburg 1-2 Rijnsburgse Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Rijnsburgse Boys 4-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Spakenburg 2-0 Rijnsburgse Boys | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Rijnsburgse Boys on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnsburgse Boys score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnsburgse Boys sit 17th in Tweede Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Rijnsburgse Boys the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Spakenburg.
- Where and when is Rijnsburgse Boys vs Spakenburg played?
- Rijnsburgse Boys vs Spakenburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Middelmors, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.