Spakenburg vs HHC: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for HHC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs HHC?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Spakenburg (1,923) and HHC (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; HHC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almere City II(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barendrecht(away) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(home) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spakenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 HHC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | HHC 1-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Spakenburg 2-3 HHC | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Spakenburg 2-0 HHC | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | HHC 3-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HHC 2-0 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Spakenburg 1-0 HHC | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HHC score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| HHC | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and HHC sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | HHC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs HHC?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for HHC.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs HHC played?
- Spakenburg vs HHC is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026KatwijkvsKoninklijke HFC
- Dec 5, 2026Kozakken BoysvsRKAV Volendam
- Dec 5, 2026AFC AmsterdamvsQuick Boys
- Dec 5, 2026BarendrechtvsROHDA Raalte
- Dec 5, 2026HoekvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Dec 5, 2026De TreffersvsIjsselmeervogels
- Dec 5, 2026Almere City IIvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Dec 5, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsKloetinge