Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Robur Siena starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Robur Siena win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Robur Siena 4-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 4th in Serie D - Girone E (60 points from 34 matches) and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
- The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano played?
- Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.