Mezzolara vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Prato wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mezzolara vs Prato?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,565).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mezzolara vs Prato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Prato have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mezzolara wins, 2 draws, 1 Prato win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Prato 0-0 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Mezzolara 1-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Prato 3-1 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Mezzolara 3-1 Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Mezzolara 0-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Prato 1-2 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Mezzolara score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mezzolara | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mezzolara sit 13th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Mezzolara vs Prato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Prato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Mezzolara vs Prato played?
- Mezzolara vs Prato is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027LucchesevsTerranuova Traiana
- Mar 14, 2027Robur SienavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Mar 14, 2027SeravezzavsTernana
- Mar 14, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Mar 14, 2027ScandiccivsGavorrano
- Mar 14, 2027ProgressovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Mar 14, 2027Tau AltopasciovsFlaminia
- Mar 14, 2027RondinellavsGrassina