Rocha vs Progreso: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on March 14, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Mario Sobrero, Rocha
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What was the result of Rocha vs Progreso?
Rocha won 3-2 on March 14, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 18′Héctor José Foletti SilveraProgreso
- 19′Diego Matías Arismendi PeraltaRocha
- 55′C. GutiérrezRocha
- 68′Pablo Roberto Munhoz RodríguezProgreso
- 77′Federico Gastón Garaza PereyraRocha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rocha have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2014 | Cerrito(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Canadian(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Cerrito(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2014 | Canadian(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Rocha win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Progreso 1-0 Rocha | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2014 | Progreso 4-2 Rocha | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Rocha 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| May 12, 2012 | Progreso 3-0 Rocha | Segunda División |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Rocha 3-5 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rocha score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocha | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Progreso | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy