Rochdale vs Bury: result 2-1 and analysis
EFL TrophyGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 4, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Rochdale vs Bury?
Rochdale won 2-1 on September 4, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 16′Z. CloughRochdale
- 19′Matthew Rhys GillamRochdale
- 70′C. LaveryBury (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bury have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2018 | Coventry(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 28, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Walsall(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 21, 2018 | Barnsley(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 21, 2018 | Lincoln(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Forest Green(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 14, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Rochdale win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | Bury 0-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Sep 19, 2017 | Bury 0-4 Rochdale | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Rochdale 0-0 Bury | League One |
| Apr 13, 2017 | Bury 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Rochdale 2-0 Bury | League One |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Rochdale 3-0 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy