Roda vs Acero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Roda the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Acero?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Roda (1,724) and Acero (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Acero have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Soneja(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buñol(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Silla(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Elche II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Utiel(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roda win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Acero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | Acero 1-2 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Roda 1-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Roda 1-0 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Acero 2-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Roda 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Acero 2-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Acero | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 45 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Acero?
- The Footlab model makes Roda the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Acero.
- Where and when is Roda vs Acero played?
- Roda vs Acero is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.