Match

Roda vs Acero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal

RodaAcero

The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Roda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roda vs Acero?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Roda (1,721) and Acero (1,658).

40%31%29%
Roda winDrawAcero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Roda vs Acero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Roda

Not enough data to predict the Roda lineup.

Acero

4-3-3
  1. FFerrán Giner
  2. VVíctor Juliá
  3. JJulio Insa
  1. JJavier Martí Vila
  2. FFuster
  3. SSanjuán
  1. FF. Delorenzi
  2. AAlejandro Guillén Lorenzo
  3. DDamián Sánchez
  4. ÁÁlvaro Loza
  1. CCharlie Florencio

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Acero have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Jove Español(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Oct 3, 2026SC Torrevieja(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 27, 2026Utiel(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 19, 2026Crevillente(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 13, 2026Villarreal III(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Acero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Atzeneta(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Oct 3, 2026Torrellano(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 26, 2026Jove Español(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 19, 2026SC Torrevieja(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 12, 2026Utiel(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Roda wins, 1 draw, 3 Acero wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 4, 2024Acero 1-2 RodaTercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 16, 2023Roda 1-1 AceroTercera División RFEF - Group 6
Mar 4, 2023Roda 1-0 AceroTercera División RFEF - Group 6
Oct 29, 2022Acero 2-1 RodaTercera División RFEF - Group 6
Jan 23, 2022Roda 0-1 AceroTercera División RFEF - Group 6
Sep 25, 2021Acero 2-0 RodaTercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last archived meeting: Acero vs Roda on Feb 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Roda score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Acero score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roda1.00.948/154/15
Acero1.01.137/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roda sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (9 points from 6 matches) and Acero sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Roda6231869
10Acero6141657

A question about Roda vs Acero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roda vs Acero?
The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Acero.
Where and when is Roda vs Acero played?
Roda vs Acero is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Roda and Acero

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