Soneja vs Roda: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp El Arco, Soneja
The Footlab AI model makes Soneja the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Soneja wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Soneja vs Roda?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Soneja (1,685) and Roda (1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Soneja vs Roda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Soneja
Not enough data to predict the Soneja lineup.
Roda
Not enough data to predict the Roda lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Soneja have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Roda have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrellano(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Soneja wins, 2 draws, 1 Roda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Roda 0-1 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Soneja 0-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Roda 0-0 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Soneja 1-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Soneja 1-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Roda 0-2 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Soneja score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soneja | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Roda | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Soneja sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (4 points from 6 matches) and Roda sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 17 | Soneja | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Soneja vs Roda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Soneja vs Roda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Soneja the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Roda.
- Where and when is Soneja vs Roda played?
- Soneja vs Roda is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp El Arco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.