Rodez vs Grenoble: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Grenoble. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodez vs Grenoble?
Rodez starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Grenoble have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 5-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metz(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rodez win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Grenoble win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Rodez 1-0 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Grenoble 2-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Grenoble 1-0 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Grenoble 2-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Rodez 2-1 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Rodez 0-0 Grenoble | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rodez score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grenoble score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Grenoble | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodez sit 4th in Ligue 2 (6 points from 3 matches) and Grenoble sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rodez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Grenoble?
- The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Grenoble.
- Where and when is Rodez vs Grenoble played?
- Rodez vs Grenoble is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.