RED Star FC 93 vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Paris (Stade Bauer), Saint-Ouen
The Footlab model makes RED Star FC 93 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RED Star FC 93 vs Metz?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate RED Star FC 93 (1,858) and Metz (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RED Star FC 93 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | UNFP(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 RED Star FC 93 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Metz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Metz 4-0 RED Star FC 93 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Metz 2-2 RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | RED Star FC 93 1-0 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 26, 2019 | RED Star FC 93 1-2 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 4, 2018 | Metz 2-0 RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 25, 2017 | Metz 1-0 RED Star FC 93 | Coupe de la Ligue |
Last archived meeting: Metz vs RED Star FC 93 on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
RED Star FC 93 score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Metz | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RED Star FC 93 sit 6th in Ligue 2 (5 points from 3 matches) and Metz sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Metz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RED Star FC 93 vs Metz?
- The Footlab model makes RED Star FC 93 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Metz.
- Where and when is RED Star FC 93 vs Metz played?
- RED Star FC 93 vs Metz is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Paris (Stade Bauer), in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.