Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Kirov: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 16Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodina, Khimki
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Rodina Moskva II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Kirov?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva II (1,792) and Dinamo Kirov (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Kirov have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Broke Boys(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Kirov score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Kirov | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva II sit 1st in Second League A - Division A Gold (11 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Kirov sit 2nd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Kirov?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Rodina Moskva II.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Kirov played?
- Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Kirov is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodina, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.