Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 16Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Annenki, Kaluga
The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Kaluga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Kaluga (1,725) and Volgar Astrakhan (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaluga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Volgar Astrakhan have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Kaluga win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Volgar Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Kaluga 3-3 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 0-3 Kaluga | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Kaluga 1-5 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Volgar Astrakhan 2-0 Kaluga | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaluga score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Volgar Astrakhan score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaluga | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Volgar Astrakhan | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaluga sit 10th in Second League A - Division A Gold (3 points from 5 matches) and Volgar Astrakhan sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Volgar Astrakhan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Kaluga.
- Where and when is Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan played?
- Kaluga vs Volgar Astrakhan is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Annenki, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.