Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rodina, Khimki
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Volgar Astrakhan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva II (1,792) and Volgar Astrakhan (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Volgar Astrakhan have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Rodina Moskva II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Volgar Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 0-1 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| May 31, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 2-0 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II 2-1 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Rodina Moskva II 1-2 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
Last archived meeting: Volgar Astrakhan vs Rodina Moskva II on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Volgar Astrakhan score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Volgar Astrakhan | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva II sit 1st in Second League A - Division A Gold (11 points from 5 matches) and Volgar Astrakhan sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Volgar Astrakhan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Volgar Astrakhan.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan played?
- Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rodina, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.