Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Bryansk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bryansk the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kaluga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Dinamo Bryansk (1,781) and Kaluga (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Bryansk have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kaluga have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(away) | 1-3 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Znamya Noginsk(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Bryansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kaluga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaluga 0-1 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| May 25, 2024 | Dinamo Bryansk 1-3 Kaluga | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
| May 8, 2024 | Kaluga 1-2 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Dinamo Bryansk 0-0 Kaluga | Cup |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Dinamo Bryansk 7-0 Kaluga | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 5, 2023 | Kaluga 0-2 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Kaluga vs Dinamo Bryansk on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Bryansk score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaluga score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bryansk | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kaluga | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Bryansk sit 3rd in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Kaluga sit 10th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Bryansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bryansk the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kaluga.
- Where and when is Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga played?
- Dinamo Bryansk vs Kaluga is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.