Rops vs VJS: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä, Rovaniemi
The Footlab model makes VJS the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Rops. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rops vs VJS?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Rops (1,579) and VJS (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rops have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; VJS have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tampere United(away) | 0-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OLS(away) | 3-3 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | KuPS Akatemia(home) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC jazz(home) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TPV(away) | 3-6 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC jazz(home) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JJK(home) | 4-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KPV-j(away) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | PKKU(home) | 0-0 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter Turku II(away) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rops win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 VJS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | VJS 0-2 Rops | Ykkönen |
How many goals should we expect?
Rops score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VJS score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rops | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| VJS | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rops sit 2nd in Ykkönen (37 points from 21 matches) and VJS sit 5th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rops | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 32 | 37 |
| 2 | Rops | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | VJS | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 38 | 29 | 31 |
| 8 | VJS | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rops vs VJS?
- The Footlab model makes VJS the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Rops.
- Where and when is Rops vs VJS played?
- Rops vs VJS is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä, in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.