Roskilde vs Naestved: result 3-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2016 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
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What was the result of Roskilde vs Naestved?
Roskilde won 3-2 on April 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 3′S. HansenRoskilde
- 5′Morten NielsenRoskilde
- 26′J. IllumNaestved
- 59′S. HansenNaestved
- 87′S. HansenRoskilde
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Naestved have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | Aalborg(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Silkeborg(away) | 2-6 | 1. Division |
| Mar 28, 2016 | Lyngby(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Mar 24, 2016 | FC Helsingor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Mar 20, 2016 | HB Koge(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Mar 28, 2016 | HB Koge(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Mar 24, 2016 | Skive(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Mar 20, 2016 | FC Fredericia(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Vejle(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Roskilde win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2015 | Naestved 2-1 Roskilde | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2015 | Naestved 1-1 Roskilde | 1. Division |
| May 20, 2012 | Naestved 1-0 Roskilde | 1. Division |
| Oct 9, 2011 | Roskilde 2-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Naestved | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy