Roskilde vs Naestved: result 2-0 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
Full time
What was the result of Roskilde vs Naestved?
Roskilde won 2-0 on October 9, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 11′T. Perch-NielsenRoskilde
- 66′T. Perch-NielsenRoskilde
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Naestved have 1, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Vestsjælland(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Esbjerg(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2011 | FC Fredericia(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | Jammerbugt(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2011 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Hobro(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Naestved score 1.3 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 3/8 | 2/8 |
| Naestved | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy