Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Pavonese have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Imolese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese?
- The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese played?
- Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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