Match

Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Rovato VertovesePavonese

The Footlab AI model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rovato Vertovese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Rovato Vertovese (1,758) and Pavonese (1,743).

41%28%31%
Rovato Vertovese winDrawPavonese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rovato Vertovese

Not enough data to predict the Rovato Vertovese lineup.

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pavonese have 4, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rovato Vertovese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Caldiero Terme(home)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 25, 2026Fiorenzuola(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Milan II(away)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 4, 2026Real Calepina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Pro Palazzolo(home)2-0Serie D - Girone B
Oct 28, 2026Milan II(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 25, 2026Real Calepina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Rovato Vertovese score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rovato Vertovese1.31.5210/158/15
Pavonese1.11.225/103/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rovato Vertovese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone B (10 points from 10 matches) and Pavonese sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Pavonese10433111215
13Rovato Vertovese10244151710

A question about Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese?
The Footlab AI model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese played?
Rovato Vertovese vs Pavonese is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rovato Vertovese and Pavonese

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