Pavonese vs Chievo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Chievo the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chievo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Chievo?
Chievo starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Chievo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Chievo
Not enough data to predict the Chievo lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Chievo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nibbiano & Valtidone(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pavonese wins, 0 draws, 1 Chievo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chievo 1-0 Pavonese | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Chievo score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Chievo | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Chievo sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Chievo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Chievo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chievo the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Chievo played?
- Pavonese vs Chievo is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 6, 2027Caldiero TermevsMilan II
- Jan 6, 2027Pro PalazzolovsReal Calepina
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- Jan 6, 2027Nibbiano & ValtidonevsClub Milano