Rubin vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rubin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Fakel?
On Elo ratings, Rubin has 1,911 points and Fakel 1,854.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rubin vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 11N. Gripshi
- 14I. Saavedra
- 71I. Samoshnikov
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Fakel
3-4-3- 11A. Sutormin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 7M. Turishchev
- 55D. Todorović
- 23V. Yakimov
- 97B. Magomedov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 1D. Frolkin
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Fakel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rubin wins, 1 draw, 1 Fakel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Rubin 2-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Rubin 0-1 Fakel | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-2 Rubin | Cup |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Rubin 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Fakel 0-1 Rubin | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 6/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 6th in Premier League (12 points from 10 matches) and Fakel sit 16th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Rubin vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Fakel played?
- Rubin vs Fakel is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.