Match

Rupel Boom vs Sint-Truiden II: prediction and stats

Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gemeentelijk Parkstadion, Boom

Rupel BoomSint-Truiden II

The Footlab model makes Rupel Boom the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Sint-Truiden II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rupel Boom vs Sint-Truiden II?

Rupel Boom starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,755).

Rupel Boom win56 %
Draw20 %
Sint-Truiden II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rupel Boom have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sint-Truiden II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rupel Boom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026KV Mechelen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 14, 2026Zulte Waregem II(away)2-1Second Amateur Division - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Londerzeel(home)2-3Second Amateur Division - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Mechelen II(away)2-2Second Amateur Division - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Racing Mechelen(away)0-1Second Amateur Division - VFV B
Sint-Truiden II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Wellen(away)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV B
Apr 19, 2026Nijlen(home)5-5Second Amateur Division - VFV B
Apr 11, 2026Berg en Dal(away)2-3Second Amateur Division - VFV B
Mar 29, 2026Racing Mechelen(home)3-0Second Amateur Division - VFV B
Mar 22, 2026Londerzeel(away)5-4Second Amateur Division - VFV B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Rupel Boom win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sint-Truiden II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Sint-Truiden II 1-3 Rupel BoomSecond Amateur Division - VFV B
Nov 9, 2025Rupel Boom 2-1 Sint-Truiden IISecond Amateur Division - VFV B
Feb 16, 2025Rupel Boom 2-2 Sint-Truiden IISecond Amateur Division - VFV B
Sep 8, 2024Sint-Truiden II 0-0 Rupel BoomSecond Amateur Division - VFV B

Last archived meeting: Sint-Truiden II vs Rupel Boom on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rupel Boom score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sint-Truiden II score 2.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rupel Boom1.61.5310/1510/15
Sint-Truiden II2.72.9113/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rupel Boom sit 2nd in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (65 points from 30 matches) and Sint-Truiden II sit 9th (34 points from 30 matches).

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Rupel Boom301983532065
9Sint-Truiden II3081012504334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rupel Boom vs Sint-Truiden II?
The Footlab model makes Rupel Boom the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Sint-Truiden II.
Where and when is Rupel Boom vs Sint-Truiden II played?
Rupel Boom vs Sint-Truiden II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gemeentelijk Parkstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rupel Boom and Sint-Truiden II

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