Diegem Sport vs Tongeren: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gemeentelijk Sportstadion, Diegem
The Footlab model makes Diegem Sport the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Tongeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diegem Sport vs Tongeren?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Diegem Sport (1,781) and Tongeren (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diegem Sport have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tongeren have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 3-6 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Diegem Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tongeren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tongeren 2-4 Diegem Sport | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Diegem Sport 0-1 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Diegem Sport 1-2 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Tongeren 3-0 Diegem Sport | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Tongeren 4-1 Diegem Sport | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Diegem Sport 1-1 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Tongeren vs Diegem Sport on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Diegem Sport score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tongeren score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diegem Sport | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tongeren | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diegem Sport sit 3rd in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (62 points from 30 matches) and Tongeren sit 11th (32 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Diegem Sport | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 33 | 62 |
| 11 | Tongeren | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diegem Sport vs Tongeren?
- The Footlab model makes Diegem Sport the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Tongeren.
- Where and when is Diegem Sport vs Tongeren played?
- Diegem Sport vs Tongeren is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gemeentelijk Sportstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.