RUS Binche vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Aimé Vachaudez, Binche
The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for RUS Binche. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RUS Binche vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RUS Binche have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SG-Tertre-Hautrage have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Eupen II(away) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Calamine(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stade Mouscronnois(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Diksmuide(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Longlier(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sporting Bruxelles(away) | 0-1 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Flénu(home) | 3-0 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
How many goals should we expect?
RUS Binche score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SG-Tertre-Hautrage score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUS Binche | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RUS Binche sit 11th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (0 points from 1 matches) and SG-Tertre-Hautrage sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | RUS Binche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RUS Binche vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
- The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for RUS Binche.
- Where and when is RUS Binche vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage played?
- RUS Binche vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Aimé Vachaudez, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.