Sabadell vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
The Footlab model makes Sabadell the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabadell vs Almeria?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Sabadell (1,992) and Almeria (2,028).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabadell have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Almeria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olot(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sabadell win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | Almeria 2-2 Sabadell | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Sabadell 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabadell score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabadell sit 13th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabadell vs Almeria?
- The Footlab model makes Sabadell the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Sabadell vs Almeria played?
- Sabadell vs Almeria is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.