Where and when is Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots played?

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Heart Health Park, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Heart Health Park, Sacramento, California

Sacramento Republic

Oakland Roots

The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

Sacramento Republic starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,658).

Sacramento Republic win57 %

Draw25 %

Oakland Roots win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacramento Republic have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oakland Roots have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sacramento Republic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phoenix Rising(home)	2-2	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Lexington(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	5-0	USL Championship

Oakland Roots
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)	0-1	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sacramento Republic win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Oakland Roots win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Oakland Roots 1-3 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship
May 17, 2026	Oakland Roots 0-1 Sacramento Republic	USL League One Cup
Aug 17, 2025	Sacramento Republic 3-3 Oakland Roots	USL Championship
May 4, 2025	Oakland Roots 0-1 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship
Jul 21, 2024	Oakland Roots 2-5 Sacramento Republic	USL Championship
Jun 16, 2024	Sacramento Republic 2-3 Oakland Roots	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sacramento Republic score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sacramento Republic	1.2	0.9	5	6/15	5/15
Oakland Roots	0.9	1.4	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sacramento Republic sit 6th in USL Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Oakland Roots sit 4th (18 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19	17	18
6	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13	11	16
6	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	27	18	31
10	Oakland Roots	22	6	8	8	27	30	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?: The Footlab model makes Sacramento Republic the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Oakland Roots.
Where and when is Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots played?: Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Heart Health Park, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.