Safa vs Al Mabarrah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Al Safa SC Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Al Mabarrah. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Safa vs Al Mabarrah?
Safa is a heavy favourite: 1,546 Elo points against 1,226, a 320-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Safa vs Al Mabarrah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Safa
Not enough data to predict the Safa lineup.
Al Mabarrah
4-3-3- WWissam Nassar
- AAli Safwan
- AAlaa Baidoon
- SSaid Eskandar
- MMohammad Chaaban
- HHassan Shahrour
- IIsmaeel Fadel
- RRami Ammar
- SSaad Al Din Balhawan
- HHussein Abd Allah
- BBilal Kassab
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Safa have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al Mabarrah have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Safa(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 0-7 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Hikma(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Safa wins, 0 draws, 1 Al Mabarrah win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Safa 4-0 Al Mabarrah | Premier League |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Al Mabarrah 1-0 Safa | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Al Mabarrah 1-3 Safa | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Safa 2-0 Al Mabarrah | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Safa score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Mabarrah score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Mabarrah | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Safa sit 2nd in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Mabarrah sit 9th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Safa vs Al Mabarrah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Safa vs Al Mabarrah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 78%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Al Mabarrah.
- Where and when is Safa vs Al Mabarrah played?
- Safa vs Al Mabarrah is played on December 8, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Al Safa SC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.