Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu: result 1-0 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 13, 2018 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
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What was the result of Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
Sagamihara won 1-0 on October 13, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 51′João Gabriel Ramos de SouzaSagamihara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kitakyushu have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | Kataller Toyama(away) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Tokyo U23(away) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Sep 12, 2018 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Cerezo Osaka U23(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sagamihara win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kitakyushu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2018 | Kitakyushu 0-4 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Kitakyushu 3-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Sagamihara 1-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara on Apr 8, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Kitakyushu | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy