Match

Osaka vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osaka wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,132 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Osaka (1,785) and Sagamihara (1,798).

50%24%26%
Osaka winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Osaka vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Osaka

4-4-2
  1. 9T. Shimada
  2. 95K. Isa
  1. 14S. Sumida
  2. 11G. Yoshida
  3. 10R. Kubo
  4. 17S. Morimura
  1. 6S. Tachino
  2. 25Riku Kuwako
  3. 5Y. Minakuchi
  4. 2K. Sakamoto
  1. 1H. Sugawara

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Sasaki
  2. 3K. Pytlik
  3. 15T. Maeda
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 24R. Sugimoto
  3. 8Kosuke Kambe
  1. 19S. Okita
  2. 5R. Yamauchi
  3. 4T. Shimakawa
  4. 13M. Tokida
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Nara Club(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-1J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)1-2J-League Cup
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)3-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Osaka(home)1-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-2J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Osaka wins, 1 draw, 3 Sagamihara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Sagamihara 1-0 OsakaJ3 League
Aug 30, 2025Osaka 0-2 SagamiharaJ3 League
May 18, 2025Sagamihara 1-2 OsakaJ3 League
Nov 15, 2024Osaka 1-0 SagamiharaJ3 League
May 3, 2024Sagamihara 0-0 OsakaJ3 League
Nov 12, 2023Sagamihara 5-0 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Osaka on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.91.159/1510/15
Sagamihara1.91.3410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Sagamihara sit 6th (21 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Sagamihara12633211421
7Osaka12552211220

A question about Osaka vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Osaka vs Sagamihara played?
Osaka vs Sagamihara is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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