Match

Osaka vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaSagamihara

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Sagamihara (1,770).

Osaka win37 %
Draw26 %
Sagamihara win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sagamihara win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2025Osaka 0-2 SagamiharaJ3 League
May 18, 2025Sagamihara 1-2 OsakaJ3 League
Nov 15, 2024Osaka 1-0 SagamiharaJ3 League
May 3, 2024Sagamihara 0-0 OsakaJ3 League
Nov 12, 2023Sagamihara 5-0 OsakaJ3 League
Jul 9, 2023Osaka 1-0 SagamiharaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Sagamihara on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.61.5112/159/15
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagamihara3210627
7Osaka3120755

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Osaka vs Sagamihara played?
Osaka vs Sagamihara is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Osaka and Sagamihara

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