Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu: result 1-0 and analysis
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 1, 2017 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
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What was the result of Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
Sagamihara won 1-0 on April 1, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kitakyushu have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | Tokyo U23(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Mar 20, 2017 | Gamba Osaka U23(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Kataller Toyama(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cerezo Osaka U23(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Blaublitz Akita(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 0-3 | J2 League |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-2 | J2 League |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-3 | J2 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kitakyushu | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy