Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Sagrada Esperança (1,659) and 1º de Maio (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1º de Maio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Feb 15, 2026 | 1º de Maio 2-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Jul 8, 2018 | 1º de Maio 2-2 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Sagrada Esperança 2-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Sagrada Esperança 2-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 23, 2017 | 1º de Maio 2-4 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.