Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo do Libolo: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Recreativo do Libolo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo do Libolo?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Sagrada Esperança (1,659) and Recreativo do Libolo (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Recreativo do Libolo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | São Salvador(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Recreativo do Libolo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo 3-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 5-1 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo 2-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo 0-2 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo do Libolo score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo do Libolo sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo do Libolo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo do Libolo?
- The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Recreativo do Libolo.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo do Libolo played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo do Libolo is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.