Sporting de Cabinda vs Wiliete: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Tafe, Cabinda
The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting de Cabinda vs Wiliete?
Wiliete is a heavy favourite: 1,804 Elo points against 1,452 — a 352-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting de Cabinda have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Wiliete have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sporting de Cabinda win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Wiliete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Wiliete 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-2 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Wiliete 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Wiliete 1-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 0-1 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-3 Wiliete | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda on Nov 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wiliete score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wiliete | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Wiliete sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wiliete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting de Cabinda vs Wiliete?
- The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is Sporting de Cabinda vs Wiliete played?
- Sporting de Cabinda vs Wiliete is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Tafe, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.