Match

Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Orduspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı

SakaryasporYeni Orduspor

The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Orduspor?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and Yeni Orduspor (1,741).

Sakaryaspor win32 %
Draw25 %
Yeni Orduspor win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Yeni Orduspor have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sakaryaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Manisa F.K.(away)0-51. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Çorum FK(home)0-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Hatayspor(away)1-11. Lig
Apr 13, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)1-21. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ümraniyespor(away)0-21. Lig
Yeni Orduspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Ayvalikgucu(away)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)1-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(home)4-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(away)3-13. Lig - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sakaryaspor0.91.927/157/15
Yeni Orduspor1.91.057/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Orduspor played?
Sakaryaspor vs Yeni Orduspor is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sakaryaspor and Yeni Orduspor

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