Kırklarelispor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kırklareli Atatürk Stadyumu, Kırklareli
The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kırklarelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kırklarelispor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
Karacabey Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kırklarelispor have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kırklarelispor win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Karacabey Belediyespor 0-0 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Kırklarelispor 0-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Karacabey Belediyespor 2-0 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Kırklarelispor 1-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Kırklarelispor 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-1 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kırklarelispor on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kırklarelispor score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kırklarelispor | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kırklarelispor sit 14th in 2. Lig (36 points from 34 matches) and Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th (41 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
| 14 | Kırklarelispor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 49 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kırklarelispor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Karacabey Belediyespor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kırklarelispor.
- Where and when is Kırklarelispor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- Kırklarelispor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kırklareli Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.