Samambaia vs Capital Brasilia: result 0-1 and analysis
Brasiliense1st Phase - 6Kick-off on February 14, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, Taguatinga, Distrito Federal
Full time
What was the result of Samambaia vs Capital Brasilia?
Capital Brasilia won 0-1 on February 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′?Capital Brasilia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Capital Brasilia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | Planaltina DF(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Real FC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Gama(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Paranoá(home) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Santa Maria(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | Ceilândia(home) | 5-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Planaltina DF(home) | 4-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Real FC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Gama(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Paranoá(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Samambaia win, 0 draws, 1 Capital Brasilia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Capital Brasilia 1-2 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Samambaia 0-1 Capital Brasilia | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Capital Brasilia vs Samambaia on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Capital Brasilia score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 2.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Capital Brasilia | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samambaia sit 2nd in Brasiliense (20 points from 9 matches) and Capital Brasilia sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Capital Brasilia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 15 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy