Samambaia vs Brasiliense: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 1Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Brasiliense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samambaia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samambaia vs Brasiliense?
On Elo ratings, Samambaia has 1,530 points and Brasiliense 1,642.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samambaia vs Brasiliense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samambaia
Not enough data to predict the Samambaia lineup.
Brasiliense
4-3-3- RRomário
- RRafael Longuine
- RRubens
- TTarta
- TTobinha
- MMarcos Júnior
- NNetinho
- GGustavo Henrique
- 6Keynan
- IIgor Morais
- MMatheus Kayser
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Brasiliense have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paranoá(away) | 6-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2026 | ARUC(away) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Primavera MG(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Inhumas(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Samambaia wins, 1 draw, 4 Brasiliense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Samambaia 0-1 Brasiliense | Brasiliense |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Brasiliense 2-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Brasiliense 3-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Brasiliense 2-2 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Brasiliense 4-2 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Samambaia vs Brasiliense on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brasiliense score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Brasiliense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samambaia sit 2nd in Brasiliense (20 points from 9 matches) and Brasiliense sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Samambaia vs Brasiliense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samambaia vs Brasiliense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samambaia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Brasiliense.
- Where and when is Samambaia vs Brasiliense played?
- Samambaia vs Brasiliense is played on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.