Sámano vs Atlético Mineros: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vallegon, Cantabria
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mineros the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sámano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Mineros wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sámano vs Atlético Mineros?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sámano (1,728) and Atlético Mineros (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sámano vs Atlético Mineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sámano
4-3-3- 9A. Castillo Marcilla
- 11A. Berzosa
- 23J. Ibanez
- 6D. Aguirre
- 10A. Lambea
- 14M. Gilete
- 2A. Abad
- 22L. Gomez
- 4J. Lopez
- LLuis Gómez
- 1G. Masach
Atlético Mineros
4-3-3- DDiego Villar
- MMario Sañudo
- SSergio Tresgallo Gallo
- JJosé Saras
- AAarón Villanueva Revuelta
- JJosemi Barragán
- 19Diego Guemes
- ÃÃngel Cobo
- AAntonio Fuentevilla Barriuso
- DDavid Ruiz
- JJavier Villegas
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 12:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sámano have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Mineros have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Torina(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castro(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Sámano wins, 0 draws, 0 Atlético Mineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros 0-4 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sámano 3-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 0-3 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sámano 3-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Atlético Mineros 1-4 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mineros vs Sámano on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sámano score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mineros score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sámano | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlético Mineros | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sámano sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (13 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Mineros sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sámano | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Sámano vs Atlético Mineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sámano vs Atlético Mineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mineros the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sámano.
- Where and when is Sámano vs Atlético Mineros played?
- Sámano vs Atlético Mineros is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vallegon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.