Sámano vs Guarnizo: result 4-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vallegon, Cantabria
Full time
What was the result of Sámano vs Guarnizo?
Sámano won 4-1 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′611714Sámano
- 51′O. HelgueraSámano
- 56′683582Sámano
- 78′683583Sámano
- 84′643522Guarnizo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sámano win at 38%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sámano have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Guarnizo have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barquereño(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 17, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sámano wins, 2 draws, 1 Guarnizo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sámano 1-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Guarnizo 1-2 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sámano 1-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Guarnizo 1-0 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Sámano 2-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Guarnizo 1-1 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sámano score 0.8 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sámano | 0.8 | 3.4 | 0 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Guarnizo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sámano sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sámano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Sámano vs Guarnizo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy