Şamaxı FK vs Turan: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaMatchday 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)ASK Arena, Baku
The Footlab AI model makes Turan the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Şamaxı FK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Turan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,762 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
Turan starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Şamaxı FK vs Turan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Şamaxı FK
4-3-3- 11A. Bouali
- 9T. Akhvlediani
- 80H. Ismayilov
- 13Ricardo Apolinário
- 97O. Məmmədov
- 25F. Marques
- 4Rui Pacheco
- 52R. Moumini
- 5E. Rustamov
- 3Jota
- 1Ricardo Fernandes
Turan
4-3-3- 77I. Wadji
- 90Jô
- 28A. Janković
- 21S. Beusnard
- 23Álex Serrano
- 19Roberto Olabe
- 7Jorge Silva
- 33F. Damjanović
- 3Henrique
- 5R. Miller
- 1O. Baklov
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şamaxı FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Turan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Hypers Guba(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Safa Baku(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Şamaxı FK win, 3 draws, 2 Turan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Turan 0-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| May 16, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 3-2 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 0-0 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Turan 2-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Turan 1-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Turan | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Şamaxı FK score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Turan score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şamaxı FK | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Turan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şamaxı FK sit 7th in Premyer Liqa (14 points from 11 matches) and Turan sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Turan | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Turan the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Şamaxı FK.
- Where and when is Şamaxı FK vs Turan played?
- Şamaxı FK vs Turan is played on November 21, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at ASK Arena, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.