Torres vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vanni Sanna, Sassari
The Footlab model makes Torres the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Spezia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torres vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Torres (1,802) and Spezia (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torres have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Spezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bra(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Bra(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Torres win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spezia 4-1 Torres | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Torres score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torres | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torres vs Spezia?
- The Footlab model makes Torres the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Spezia.
- Where and when is Torres vs Spezia played?
- Torres vs Spezia is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vanni Sanna, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.