Samoa vs Papua New Guinea: result 1-2 and analysis
OFC Nations CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 22, 2024 at 04:00 AM (UTC)HFC Bank Stadium, Suva
Full time
What was the result of Samoa vs Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea won 1-2 on June 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 28′T. SemmyPapua New Guinea
- 47′Ati KepoPapua New Guinea
- 67′P. TrainorSamoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samoa have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Papua New Guinea have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2024 | Fiji(home) | 1-9 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Tahiti(away) | 0-2 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Cook Islands(home) | 1-0 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Tonga(away) | 4-1 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Tahiti(away) | 1-2 | Pacific Games |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2024 | Tahiti(home) | 1-1 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Fiji(home) | 1-5 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Central African Republic(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Sri Lanka(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Tahiti(away) | 0-2 | Pacific Games |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Samoa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Papua New Guinea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2019 | Samoa 0-6 Papua New Guinea | Pacific Games |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Samoa 0-8 Papua New Guinea | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
Last archived meeting: Samoa vs Papua New Guinea on Jul 8, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Samoa score 1.5 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Papua New Guinea score 1.0 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samoa | 1.5 | 3.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| Papua New Guinea | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy