Vanuatu vs New Caledonia: prediction and stats
OFC Nations CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 18, 2024 at 04:00 AM (UTC)PVM Stadium, Port Vila, Efate
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanuatu have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; New Caledonia have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Solomon Islands(away) | 1-0 | OFC Nations Cup |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Brunei(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Guinea(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Fiji(home) | 2-4 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 28, 2023 | New Caledonia(away) | 0-1 | Pacific Games |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | Solomon Islands(home) | 2-2 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Vanuatu(home) | 1-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Cook Islands(away) | 8-0 | Pacific Games |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Tonga(home) | 7-0 | Pacific Games |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Solomon Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vanuatu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 New Caledonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | New Caledonia 1-0 Vanuatu | Pacific Games |
| Oct 8, 2023 | New Caledonia 4-0 Vanuatu | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Vanuatu 2-2 New Caledonia | Friendlies |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Vanuatu 2-1 New Caledonia | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: New Caledonia vs Vanuatu on Nov 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vanuatu score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; New Caledonia score 3.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanuatu | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| New Caledonia | 3.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy