Sampdoria vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Modena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Modena?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Sampdoria (1,803) and Modena (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Modena have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Parma(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sampdoria win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Modena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Modena 1-2 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Sampdoria 0-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sampdoria 1-0 Modena | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Modena 1-3 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Sampdoria 2-2 Modena | Serie B |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Modena 0-2 Sampdoria | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Modena | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 11th in Serie B (1 points from 1 matches) and Modena sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Modena?
- The Footlab model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Modena.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Modena played?
- Sampdoria vs Modena is played on December 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.